
From
Challenge # 92,
July - August 2005
editorial
Phony Trauma
Roni Ben Efrat
ISRAEL IS SET to evacuate its settlements
from the Gaza Strip in mid-August. Until recently, the right-wing
opponents of disengagement were making inroads. According to a survey by
Yediot Aharonot, the proportion of the plan’s supporters had
declined from 64% in February to 53% in early June. Three weeks later the
trend reversed. Support shot back to 62%.
What happened was this: A cabal of
young Kahanists had descended on Gaza from illegal West Bank outposts,
setting up in an abandoned hotel, which they dubbed “the Song of the Sea.”
They sat undisturbed for a month, writing obscene graffiti about Muhammad
to provoke the nearby Arabs. They were determined, they said, to stay in
Gaza until the cancellation of disengagement or death. Pundits trembled at
the prospect of civil war.
The turning point came on a day when
other opponents of disengagement blocked the country’s highways. The
Kahanists had a brawl with the Arabs they had managed to provoke. At zero
range they stoned – on camera –a young Palestinian who had already been
knocked unconscious. The public backed away in revulsion. Feeling new wind
in his sails, PM Ariel Sharon took action the next morning: the army
surrounded the “Song of the Sea.”
The rest was anticlimax. Finding no
support from their settler colleagues, the Kahanists turned in their
weapons. Then elite army units entered the hotel and carried them to
buses. No Masada. The threat of civil war evaporated. De-gunned, the
settlers turned to sheep.
On the following day (July 1), in
Yediot Aharonot, Gideon Maron and Oded Shalom wrote: “The
right-wing extremists who barricaded themselves in Gush Katif could have
been reined in a month ago. The army knew this but turned a blind eye,
acting only yesterday, after blood was spilled.”
The month-long wait served to build
up the drama, which Sharon needs. In order to serve his long-range policy
aim, disengagement must take on mythic proportions. The greater the
resistance against it, the more impossible it will seem to follow it with
any Act II. That’s why he doesn’t do what Charles De Gaulle did with the
French settlers in Algeria, fixing a date to pull out the army and saying
that any settler who wants to remain in Gaza may apply to the Palestinian
Authority. Rather, he needs the brouhaha as a doorstop: ‘This far we shall
go, no farther. We can’t. Look how traumatic it is! Even this much has
torn us apart!’
The financial aspect reinforces our
suspicion. Dan Ben David, a lecturer on Public Economics at Tel Aviv
University, has written that the purely civilian costs of the
disengagement plan amount to 5.5 billion shekels, or an average of
$611,000 per family. The 7000 Gaza settlers are 3% of the total settler
population (not including occupied Jerusalem). At sums like this, how
could the State afford additional traumas? Never.
SHARON'S present deeds are designed to
improve his chances in the next round of elections. With 1.5 million fewer
Palestinians under Israel’s responsibility, and as the only Israeli leader
capable of evacuating settlers, he can offer his candidacy for the Nobel
Prize. At the same time he can posture as the champion of the right wing,
the man who saved the important West Bank settlements from the threat of
dismantlement.
But there is also a new round of
fighting at the door. The political situation is clearer now –
and worse for the Palestinians – than during the Oslo years. Then
they signed an agreement that was open-ended, assuring them nothing.
The accord was full of holes that each side could fill as it wished.
Israel could claim that it had not yielded on the issues of settlements,
Jerusalem or the right of return. The Palestinians could claim the
opposite. It took each seven years to understand where the other side
stood. Even now the Oslo agreement is obscure enough to inspire the most
varied interpretations. The Disengagement Plan, on the contrary, leaves no
room for doubt: Sharon repeatedly brandishes the promise he got from US
President G. W. Bush: that the major settlement blocs are off the agenda.
Thus he advances toward his real program: to separate Gaza from the West
Bank.
The left-wing parties in the Knesset
drift, meanwhile, toward oblivion. This applies both to Meretz-Yahad,
which gives Sharon a parliamentary umbrella from outside his government,
and also to Labor, which is inside. Professor Shlomo Ben Ami, who was part
of the Israeli team at Camp David in July 2000, criticizes the
Disengagement Plan as a patchwork leading nowhere: “Its backers don’t see
it as a component in a broader plan for a political arrangement that will
bring Israel to permanent recognized borders. In the final analysis, two
senior politicians in Israel today, Ariel Sharon and Shimon Peres, are
partners in the concept that Israel does not need to advance toward a
permanent arrangement and an end to the conflict.” (Haaretz
June 30.)
Laborites like to boast that Sharon
is implementing their platform, but that is at best an illusion, at worst
sheer fraud. Labor is merely preparing its seats in the next government,
which it hopes Sharon will assemble – and not Binyamin Netanyahu. It has
backed away from the challenge of building an alternative to the Likud.
THE OBSESSIVE preoccupation with the misery
of the settler-evacuees, and with the difficulties faced by Sharon,
conceals what is happening in the background. After seven months as PA
President, Abu Mazen has reached the end of his rope. He never quite
understood that disengagement curtails his days. After Israel has left
Gaza, it won’t need him anymore. Many, it is true, still wag their fingers
at him, complaining that he ought to collect the weapons of Hamas, but
this is a smoke screen. Since the start of the second Intifada, Israel has
known that it must not place its security in the hands of a Palestinian
authority. Where the border between Gaza and Egypt is concerned, for
instance, it wants Egypt to police it, not the PA, and it is
now engaged in the final stages of a deal.
The army waits eagerly for the first
Kassam rocket that will fall after disengagement. It will then demonstrate
that by getting rid of the settlements, it has improved its military
position. It will be able to invade the Strip by land, sea and air without
having first to take account of a vulnerable Jewish population there.
It is not just Israel, however, that
will undermine Abu Mazen. Hamas has rejected his call to join his
government. Thus it expressed its annoyance with him for delaying the
parliamentary elections. Hamas understands why Abu Mazen wants it inside:
so that he can avoid the moment of truth at the polling booth. Hamas also
knows where its power resides. It is waiting for disengagement so that it
can pluck the fruits by taking command of the Strip. There is a whiff of
historical dialectic in this: Sharon, it would seem, is improving the
position of Hamas!
The proponents of disengagement are wrong. The US is wrong
in telling Abu Mazen to refrain from making conditions and simply allow
Israel to leave. Abu Mazen is wrong to sit on his hands while Israel
secures the tools it needs to continue ruling the West Bank. And finally,
Sharon and his supporters are wrong. Their Disengagement Plan contains the
seed of the third Intifada. The Palestinian people will not accept the new
reality imposed by Israel: the imprisonment of millions, without means of
livelihood, behind a fictive border of separation enhanced by actual
fences and walls. The flames of the third Intifada will overcome all
fences and walls. n
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